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How to track profitable Polymarket traders with Farsight

Every trade on Polymarket is public. Here is how to find the traders who actually win, judge whether their record holds up, and see their next trade the moment it happens.

Polymarket runs on a public blockchain, so every position, every trade and every payout can be seen by anyone. That makes it one of the few markets where you can watch exactly what its best traders do, in real time, without anyone's permission.

Polymarket's own profile pages show only a small part of it. Farsight reads the whole record and puts it in one place. This guide walks through how to use it: finding profitable traders, checking that their profits are real, and following them closely enough to see each trade as it lands.

Why track other traders at all?

Prediction markets reward information and judgment, and both are unevenly spread. A small group of traders makes a large share of the profits, often in a narrow area they know well: a sport, a country's politics, crypto prices. Watching them is useful in three ways:

  • Ideas. A large buy from a trader with a long winning record in that category is worth a closer look.
  • Context. Knowing who holds each side of a market tells you more than the price alone.
  • Learning. Studying how good traders size positions, when they enter and when they sell teaches more than any rulebook.

It is not a shortcut to free money. Even the best traders are wrong often, and copying without understanding is a quick way to inherit their losses without their judgment. Treat what you see as research.

Step 1: Find the traders who actually win

Start with the leaderboard. It ranks Polymarket traders by profit and by volume, all time or over the past week, month, year or year to date. Recent windows matter: a trader at the top of the all-time board may have made their money years ago, while the monthly board shows who is winning now.

To search more widely, open Explore traders. You can search by username, X handle or wallet address, and narrow the list with switches: only accounts active in the last 30 days, with or without sports traders, excluding crypto, only those with a linked X account, or only your favorites. Sort by profit, volume, markets traded or portfolio value.

A third route starts from a market. Every market page on Farsight lists its largest holders on each side, the biggest winners and losers in that market, and how strong each side's holders are as a group. If you trade a particular kind of market, this is often the fastest way to find the specialists in it.

Step 2: Check that the record is real

A big profit number on its own says little. Open the trader's profile and look at a few things before you trust it:

  • The profit chart. A steady climb over many months says more than one huge jump. The chart splits total profit into trading profit, rewards, rebates and fees, so you can see whether someone wins by picking outcomes or mostly earns by providing liquidity.
  • The calendar. Each day's result, green or red, with how many markets were traded. It shows how often a trader loses and how big the bad days are.
  • Biggest wins and losses. If most of the profit comes from one market, the record is thinner than it looks.
  • Best categories. Where the trader actually makes money, which is often narrower than where they trade.
  • Volume against profit. A trader who made $100,000 on $200 million of volume has a very different edge from one who made it on $2 million.
  • Compare. Put several accounts on one chart, or compare an account's returns against the S&P 500, the Nasdaq or Bitcoin.

Two more tabs help separate real skill from noise. Track shows where an account was funded from and the other wallets it moves money with, which can reveal several accounts run by the same person. Counterparties shows who the trader most often trades against.

Step 3: See what they hold right now

The Positions tab lists everything a trader holds: each market, the side, the shares, the average price paid, the current value and the profit or loss so far. Sort it by value to see where their money is concentrated. The Activity tab lists every trade, merge, split and redemption, and can be filtered by type, size, category and date range, so you can pull up, say, only their buys above $1,000 in politics this month.

The Report tab answers a simpler question: what changed? It lists each position's profit or loss over the last day, week or month, including positions closed in that time.

Step 4: Follow them

Following a trader on Farsight takes one click, and you need a free account, made with Google or an email address.

  • The star adds a trader to your favorites.
  • The bell turns on trade alerts. You set the smallest trade worth hearing about, in dollars or shares, so a trader who places dozens of tiny orders does not flood you.

Everyone you follow appears on your Tracker, each as a card with their profit, portfolio value and volume, their alert settings and your notes. You can also add any trader you have written a note on.

Step 5: Get an alert the moment they trade

With alerts on, every trade over your floor reaches you as it happens: as a card in the corner of whatever Farsight page you have open, as a browser notification if you allow them, and in the bell's history, which keeps the last two weeks. Each alert names the market, the side, the shares, the price and the dollar amount, and how much of the trader's order has filled so far, which tells you whether a small fill is the start of a much bigger order.

You can give each trader their own sound for buys, sells and merges at different sizes, have Farsight read the market's name aloud, and mute every sound at once from the sidebar. Clicking an alert opens the trader's profile at that exact trade.

Step 6: Organize them into lists

Once you follow more than a handful of traders, put them into lists, such as "Election specialists", "Sports" or "New wallets to watch". Right-click any username anywhere on Farsight to add the trader to a list, write a private note on them, or give them a name of your own that you will see everywhere on the site. On the Tracker, drag cards between lists or into the order you want.

Next to the cards, Live activity shows the latest trades of everyone you follow, or of one list, with the same filters as a profile's Activity tab: time, kind of activity, size, category and date range. It is the quickest way to see what your whole watchlist is doing right now.

Step 7: Watch them inside markets

The same traders show up when you look at a market. On a market's price chart you can turn on your favorite traders, your own trades or the market's top 10 traders, and see each of their fills drawn on the line at the moment and price it happened. The market's Activity tab can be narrowed to only the traders you follow.

For a market where something feels off, the Insider finder ranks each side's holders with a score built from signals such as a new wallet, few markets traded, an early and cheap entry, and a position that is a large share of the holder's activity, and flags holders that are linked to each other on chain.

Mistakes to avoid

  • Following profit without context. A trader can be up overall and still be losing in the category you care about.
  • Treating every trade as a signal. Good traders hedge, take profit, rebalance and make mistakes. One trade means little; a pattern means more.
  • Arriving late. By the time a well-known trader's buy is visible, the price may already have moved. Check the price you would actually get before you follow.
  • Ignoring size. A trader putting 1% of a large portfolio into a market is telling you something very different from one betting half of a small one.

Getting started

Pick one area you know. Find five traders who consistently win in it on the leaderboard or a market's holder lists, check their records as above, follow them with sensible alert floors and put them in a list. A week of watching their trades in Live activity will teach you more about how that market really moves than a month of reading about it.

If you are new to Polymarket itself, start with How Polymarket works and How to make money on Polymarket.

Frequently asked questions

How can I see what other Polymarket traders are betting on?

Every Polymarket trade is public on the blockchain. On Farsight, open any trader's profile to see their open positions, every trade they have made, their profit over time and their biggest wins and losses.

How do I find the most profitable Polymarket traders?

Farsight's leaderboard ranks traders by profit all time and over the past week, month, year or year to date, and Explore traders lets you search and filter every trader by profit, volume, activity and category.

Can I get notified when a Polymarket trader makes a trade?

Yes. Turn on alerts for a trader on Farsight and every trade over the minimum size you choose reaches you as it happens, on the page you have open, as a browser notification and in your alert history.

Is following top Polymarket traders a good strategy?

It is a good source of ideas and a way to learn, but not a guarantee. Top traders are often wrong, hedge across markets and trade sizes that may not suit you, and their trades can move the price before you act.

Is Farsight free?

Farsight's pages are free to use. A free account, made with Google or an email address, is needed to follow traders and get alerts.